If you're at all like me, some of your buddies probably ran the new 24-man raid about half dozens of times or more, then raged a few times on how their 95 roll got beaten by a 99. And probably have heard "if you don't get a 99, you already lost the roll". I just want to show some basic statistics to show how depressing the odds are against you (and everyone else, to be fair). More details here.
Your probability of winning the coffer, assuming all 24 people roll, first coffer.
Second coffer you are rolling against one less player. Your odd does not increase by much.
And 3rd coffer:
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Your probability of winning the coffer, assuming all 24 people roll, first coffer.
Your roll
Odds
99
99
100.0%
98
98
76.5%
97
97
58.4%
96
96
44.4%
95
95
33.6%
94
94
25.4%
93
93
19.1%
92
92
14.3%
91
91
10.7%
90
90
8.0%
89
89
5.9%
88
88
4.4%
87
87
3.2%
86
86
2.4%
85
85
1.7%
84
84
1.2%
83
83
0.9%
82
82
0.6%
Second coffer you are rolling against one less player. Your odd does not increase by much.
Your roll
Odds
99
99
100.0%
98
98
77.6%
97
97
60.0%
96
96
46.2%
95
95
35.5%
94
94
27.2%
And 3rd coffer:
Your roll
Odds
99
99
100.0%
98
98
78.6%
97
97
61.6%
96
96
48.1%
95
95
37.5%
94
94
29.1%
submitted by /u/artemasad [link] [comments]
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